I am about 60% done with A Feast for Crows, and this seems like a
good place to stop and make some predictions for the rest of the book.
Where are we? (It's kind of hard to say since most of the storylines
are going nowhere fast, but we'll try.) Brienne is going toward
Riverrun to look for Sandor Clegane with a low-ranking Septon named
Meribald, who is one of the few new interesting characters. Jaime is
in Harrenhal, about to set off for Riverrun (hmm) with some of Gregor
Clegane's old forces. Samwell is in Braavos, trying to dig up stories
about dragons for a frail Maester Aemon, and apparently he just met
Arya, not knowing who she was. Prince Doran has thwarted Princess
Arianne's attempt to kidnap Myrcella. The iron islands have selected
Euron as their new King. And Cersei has armed the Church (hoping they
will fight Stannis), and starts to believe Ser Loras and Margery have
the same incestuous brother-sister relationship that she had with
I made some hilariously wrong ones:
- I predicted both Clegane brothers would pull through. Gregor is
certainly dead (we'll credit Qyburn with being corrupt enough to
hide the fact that he is a live for some reason, but doesn't seem
likley). Sandor is rumored to be alive, but the rumors are
unlikley. We'll call it likely wrong in both cases.
- I predicted Jon Snow's inheritance of Winterfell would become a
thing, but it hasn't so far and gets less likely the more the novel
- I surmised the Pycelle would end up the King's Hand, wrongly. I
also surmised that Dorne and the Tyrells (old town), would start to
get conquesty. Wrong on both counts, although in Dorne it was only
because it was thwarted.
A few other predictions are likely to turn out to be wrong, but I
won't call them wrong yet. I predicted Asha would get chapters,
plural. It's still not true, and the pattern suggests she might not
get any more.
I was right on one prediction: that Brienne would get her own
- The big one: Are Sir Loras and Margery doing it? It's complicated.
Certainly there are clues that suggest it retrospect (like when Ser
Loras got huffy when Tyrion asked him why he took a Kingsguard
post). If it were just that, I would just predict that they are
doing it and that Cersei would twist that to her advantage (though
it wouldn't work out as well as she'd think). Problem is, I have
suspicions that Margery (and probably Ser Loras also) is just as
busy manipulating things as Cersei is. Certainly Margery was a
protogee of her grandmother the Queen of Thorns. In the face of
ambiguity, I'll just go with the bigger surprise: it's an act.
Margery wants Cercei to think she and her brother are lovers, and
Cersei will work out this elaborate plan, only to fall into
- And then Margery will turn out to be a worse person than Cersei
- Jaime and Brienne will meet again. It almost has to happen, and
one way or another it'll have a big consequence. Jaime clearly is
attracted to her in spite of himself, but I'm not sure he's ready
to jump in yet. My hilarious guess is that Jaime and Brienne will
meet up with Catelyn and he will cross over. Or he'll be
disbelieved and again have to come to terms with his reputation.
- Maester Aemon has some purpose behind asking about the dragons. My
guess is that he will connect Dany's actions to Melisandre's and
realize something Very Bad is about to happen, probably at the
Wall, and he'll die leaving Samwell to make some decisions on how
to handle it.
- Who told on Princess Arianne? I'll guess Drey since he didn't
seemed too surprised, and then tried to convince Arianne to
cooperate. But I don't know if it was necessarily someone in the
- The Darkstar was the one who escaped after Ser Arys foolishly
diverted the Hotah's men.
- Why did Myrcella have blood streaming through her fingers? I'd
guess that she was hit by a stray arrow and (to make things
interesting) died of it, but since she was shaking and wailing she
would have only died of gangrene later. I'll predict she was hit
by a stray arrow and not killed but maybe disfigured? Of course,
maybe Arys's blood just splashed on her.
- Euron's horn is going to Not Work As Intended. I fully expect it
to have some effect on Dany's dragons. Remember, dragons are not
slaves, so I don't expect Euron to control them to his will, but he
might make them act out. Dany (who, I expect when we next meet
her, we will see that she has been ruling very well) will have to
be on the move again because of it.
I really liked the characters from the Dornish chapters.
I never liked Cersei (either as a person or as a character), and her
own chapters aren't making me like her any more.
Seriously, where in the world is Tyrion?